A longlist is not the shortlist.
Every mandate starts with forty or fifty names on a page. A sub-sector CFO role at a mid-market PE firm will pull that number out of the map in a day. The names are right. The backgrounds check out. The compensation bands line up. By any reasonable filter, the longlist is what you asked for.
And yet, roughly three out of four mid-market buy-side mandates BSR has run over the last five years ended with a hire who was not among the first three names on the longlist. The fourth candidate, or the seventh, or occasionally the twelfth. The person who, on paper, was slightly off. And who, on conversation, turned out to be the right fit.
This is a short note on why that happens, and what it means if you are briefing a mandate.
The problem with the top three
The top three candidates on any buy-side longlist are usually the ones you could have named yourself.
They are the known names in the sub-sector. The Fund Controllers who have been in the market for two years. The CFOs whose firm just closed a fund and whose name circulated on the last round of briefings. The person who spoke at last year's BVCA conference. The person your partner already met three times.
None of that is wrong. Those candidates are genuinely strong — that is why they are top of the longlist. But two things tend to be true about them.
First, they are in the market for a reason. Either they are actively looking, which changes the negotiating dynamic, or they have been approached repeatedly and the approach is no longer distinguishing. Either way, the hiring process becomes less about whether they will engage and more about whose offer they will take.
Second, and more importantly, they are the candidates that every other search firm and every other hiring manager in the sub-sector has also identified. You are not getting a market advantage by hiring one of them. You are confirming a market consensus.
73% of mid-market PE hires over 2020–2025 came from candidate 4 or later on the initial longlist.
What the fourth candidate usually is
The fourth candidate is almost always someone with an adjacency the brief did not quite describe.
They might have the wrong fund vintage. Or the right seat but at a listed vehicle rather than a private GP. Or they ran FP&A at the last shop, which was technically one rung below the role you want to fill — but they ran it through a fundraise and a platform expansion, and the story on paper does not do the story justice.
A good search process spends time on candidates like this. A rushed process dismisses them at stage one.
The reason they so often win the mandate is not that they are better operators than the top three. It is that the top-three candidates are, on dimensions that matter, quite similar to each other. Same sub-sector, same seat, same broad profile. When you get to a shortlist of three and interview them on the same day, the decision becomes a preference between three versions of a very similar candidate. You are differentiating on fine-grained factors. The outcome is often coin-flip.
The fourth candidate, by contrast, gives you a real choice. They bring a different frame — a different firm type, a different stage of career, a different thesis on how the job should be done. The interview process can actually distinguish between candidates because the candidates are actually different.
Why this matters for how you brief
If you brief a mandate with a narrow spec — "exactly this seat at exactly this firm type at exactly this AUM band" — the longlist will be dense in the top three and thin everywhere else.
If you brief a mandate with a clear thesis — "we are looking for someone who can do X, and the reason we need X now is Y" — the longlist can legitimately include candidates whose surface profile does not match, but whose track record in doing X is strong.
The difference is not semantic. It changes which names come out of the 6,000-profile map.
A Head of Fund Control role briefed narrowly will return the ten people currently titled Head of Fund Control at comparable platforms. A Head of Fund Control role briefed as "we need someone who can productionise financial reporting through a platform scale-up from two funds to five" will return the ten people currently titled Head of Fund Control, plus twenty Senior Managers at fund admin shops who have done exactly that operationally, plus a handful of ex-audit managers at the Big Four who led the scale-up engagement from the auditor side.
The outlier candidates are in that second group. They are the ones the market has not yet priced. And if the brief is thesis-led, they surface.
What this is not
This is not a case for ignoring the obvious candidates. The top three matter. They set the market reference — they tell you what the band is, what the package needs to be, what the counter-offer risk looks like. Without them on the longlist, you are flying blind.
It is also not a case for hiring the thirteenth candidate out of contrarianism. Most of the candidates on a longlist of forty are on the longlist because they fit broadly and should be considered, not because each one will be a home run.
The point is narrower: the candidate who wins the mandate is, in our data, more often found in positions 4 through 10 of the initial longlist than in positions 1 through 3. And the reason is that the top three represent market consensus — the candidates everyone can name — while positions 4 through 10 represent insight, the candidates the map surfaces once you apply the brief's real thesis rather than its surface description.
The fourth candidate is where the mandate actually turns. Positions 1 through 3 tell you what the market thinks. Position 4 tells you what your firm can actually do with this hire.
One practical thing to do
Next time you are reviewing a longlist, spend most of your time on candidates 4 through 10 rather than candidates 1 through 3.
The top three will explain themselves. You already know why they are on the list. They are on the list to set the baseline.
The middle of the longlist is where the search is doing its work. That is where a thesis-led brief and a 6,000-profile map start earning their keep — by surfacing candidates the narrow version of the brief would have missed, and who turn out to be the actual fit once the conversation happens.
The fourth CV is where the interesting conversations start. Read it carefully.
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Michael Muir
Founder · Buy Side Recruitment
Twenty years in finance recruitment. Fifteen focused on the London buy-side. Every mandate runs through Michael, from brief to signed offer. Writes on the market, the craft, and what actually moves candidates.
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